🅑🅡🅔🅐🅚🅘🅝🅖 – 𝗖𝗢𝗩𝗜𝗗-𝟭𝟵 𝗳𝗮𝘁𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗶𝘀 𝗮𝗹𝗺𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝗰𝗲𝗿𝘁𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗹𝘆 𝘀𝗶𝗺𝗶𝗹𝗮𝗿 𝘁𝗼 𝗯𝗮𝗱 𝗳𝗹𝘂.
A random sampling of 7,500 New York City residents has provided the quality antibody data previously missing from Case Fatality Rate calculations. It indicates the virus has already infected approximately 25% of NYC’s 8.4M population of which around 12,400 people have died (so far).
𝗧𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗶𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗮 Infection 𝗙𝗮𝘁𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗰𝗶𝗿𝗰𝗮 𝟬.𝟲%, 𝗮 𝗳𝗿𝗮𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗰𝗶𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝘁𝗼 𝗷𝘂𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗳𝘆 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗹𝗼𝗰𝗸𝗱𝗼𝘄𝗻𝘀.
No question this virus is serious and there is no vaccine, but an IFR of 0.6% is a fraction of what was claimed and of what is (at time of writing) stated on the World Health Organisation’s own website. The sample data will have a margin of error, so will the antibody test kits and there is likely some selection bias. Despite these issues, the conclusion is still clear; the virus is nowhere near as dangerous